So, I finally made it to the blogosphere…
First Blogged Thought: it is lamely convenient that “blogosphere” is recognized by Microsoft Word, but Playstation is not.
I never have seen myself as a blogger, or even a reader of blogs, as blogs generally seems to me to fall into two categories:
1) timely, unverified information that is 95% useless,
2) pretentious ramblings about oneself
Mine may be no better, and as I have no cutting edge information I suppose this blog may lean towards the latter. However, I have been recently convinced that there is a third possibility for blogs, which is really my ultimate goal for writing: the use of blogs as a forum for tallying, sharing and analyzing thoughts amongst a small group. Thus this is my stab at the third way…hopefully it doesn’t end up next to my karate outfit and my guitar in the closet.
I want to begin by discussing this tally concept and my conceited belief in my propensity to successfully predict future events. My issue is that I have no record to prove my perceived accuracy one way or the other, so my selective memory is probably the reason why I feel I have a tendency to be right (see category 2 of blog writers above). Thus by "tally" I do not only mean a tally of thoughts, but also a track record of my random predictions so that I can better understand my accuracy.
I will talk more about some of these previous predictions and start the official scoreboard with some fresh predictions/ideas in my next post.
1 comment:
Awesome start! You need to read the Black Swan by Taleb for more on predictions and selection bias. good stuff.
I definately fall into category #2 most posts, but hope that some may leak into #3.
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